How the 2026 midterms could blow the 2028 election wide open

Before there is any serious talk of 2028, the 2026 results will have their say. In ways big and small, the 2026 midterm elections will shape both parties’ mindsets going into the 2028 election. We’ve seen that before: the 2018 midterm outcomes heavily influenced the 2020 election and the dynamics of Democrats’ primary battle. This year will be no different. From the fight for the Latino vote to progressives’ big purple state test, the outcomes this year will reverberate into the high-stakes 2028 cycle — and there are six big storylines to watch. Subscribe to Steve's newsletter, The Long Run https://thelongrun.news/ Subscribe to The Recount    / @therecount   Interested in advertising with Margin of Error or The Recount? Reach out to us at advertise@therecount.com 0:00 Midterm cycles foreshadow presidential cycles 3:38 Progressives in toss-up races 5:46 The House margin 7:05 Red state Senate elections 9:09 The Latino vote 10:40 Race, gender, and electability 11:57 Will it be a wave?