Czy Europa wymrze? Historia i przyszłość demografii | Mateusz Łakomy, Marcin Giełzak | DZIEJE #25

Demographer Mateusz Łakomy claims that Poland could stabilize at 22-23 million inhabitants. China will lose a billion people by the end of the century. Japan in 2150 will have as many inhabitants as Tokyo today. In this episode of "History," we discuss demography as the queen of social sciences—one that explains both the rise and fall of superpowers and why we can't afford housing. We examine whether martial law really triggered a baby boom, why France was the first in Europe to experience a demographic crisis, whether the one-child policy made any difference, and when—if ever—might Muslims form a majority in Sweden, England, and France. Finally, the most difficult question: will democracy survive an aging population, or will young people start looking for solutions outside of it? Moderator: Marcin Giełzak. Table of Contents: 00:00:00 Introduction 00:01:20 Does a demographer have to have children? 00:06:30 Why do we dislike demography? 00:00:00 00:08:55 Dogs instead of children? 00:11:10 Can the state shape demographics? 00:13:20 Smartphones, social media, and pornography 00:17:15 The transformation of the 1990s and the fertility rate 00:19:25 Martial law and the mini baby boom 00:24:50 Romania and Ceaușescu 00:29:20 Youth bulge and the Arab Spring 00:33:45 The oldest demographic policies in history 00:38:15 How was the number of children limited in the past? 00:40:45 French demographic policies 00:54:35 Family models according to Emmanuel Todd 01:00:25 Will Muslims take over Europe? 01:09:20 China will age before its greatness 01:15:50 Japan and the silver tsunami 01:19:45 Demographic death spiral 01:22:10 Young versus old 01:27:05 Voting on behalf of children 01:29:15 Retirement age for voters? 01:31:10 At what level will Poland stabilize? If you liked this episode, leave a like, comment, and share. This really helps us fight the algorithm. 🔔 Subscribe to "Dzieje" so you don't miss future conversations.